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Outlook on tax changes amid numerous 2022 challenges

April 28, 2022 / 30 min read

Taxpayers might wonder what they can expect for the remainder of 2022, especially as the proposed 2023 budget and the annual Greenbook were both recently released. Our tax experts discuss these proposals and what taxpayers may want to consider now. 

Tax proposals from the Biden administration and related legislative developments were omnipresent throughout most of 2021. Ultimately, the most significant proposal failed to be enacted as the Build Back Better Act (BBBA) was halted in December. More recently, the Biden administration revisited those proposals by announcing its proposed 2023 budget, and the Treasury Department released its annual Greenbook containing further analysis of the administration’s proposals. While many of the proposed tax changes are familiar, the legislative outlook is dramatically different in 2022 as Congress grapples with numerous priorities and political challenges during an election year. Here are our reactions to these tax proposals and what we expect to see during the remainder of 2022.

Setting the stage: Recap of 2021 tax legislation

Last year, the Biden administration announced plans to enact sweeping tax changes that would fund both social and educational spending and infrastructure investments. As Congress considered those proposals, they were separated into two bills:

Since December, the BBBA has remained on hold with no clear path for advancement. More limited tax proposals have been discussed in Congress but have also failed to be completed. For example, proposals to change the required capitalization of research and experimentation expenses under Section 174, which took effect on Jan. 1, 2022, have not materialized.

2022 tax proposals: Some old, some new, and others excluded

Most of the tax changes included in the updated proposals will be familiar to those who followed the developments during 2021. A comprehensive summary of those proposals is included in the Comprehensive summary of the tax changes in the 2023 budget proposal section below. However, a careful reading will yield the following conclusions:

What’s next: Tax proposals balanced with other challenges

After the first quarter of 2022, it’s clear that the path for tax legislation this year will be very different from 2021. As a starting point, the political headwinds that the BBBA ran into last year in Congress remain. In addition, the Biden administration and Congress face major economic and geopolitical challenges. When forecasting the rest of 2022, here are the key factors that we expect to impact the legislative path for any tax changes:

Taken together, these challenges make it highly unlikely that a significant tax package on the scale of the BBBA will advance during 2022. That means that the most recent proposals from the Biden administration might be considered aspirational in nature rather than an indication of the legislation that will actually be completed this year. Instead, we anticipate that narrower tax changes could be integrated into more targeted types of bills. For example, business incentives and credits could find a home in an economic competition bill or other relief package, legislation to fund the IRS could include tax enforcement and reporting changes, and limited tax increases could be used to fund more targeted spending programs, such as energy-related and prescription drug pricing provisions.

What can taxpayers do now?

Tax planning in 2022 will also be different from 2021, since it’s expected to occur during a year of potentially limited tax changes but significant business and economic challenges. In the current environment, businesses and individuals should revisit existing tax rules as a means of confronting the broader economic and supply chain challenges. For example, accounting method planning may provide opportunities to better manage cash flows through revisiting revenue recognition or the impact of inflation. Conducting an analysis of research and experimentation costs could also limit the impact of new Sec. 174 capitalization and amortization requirements in the absence of a legislative change to such rules. Revisiting the employee retention credit for 2020 and 2021 may yield opportunities to claim refunds and further bolster current cashflow.

While the current political climate and the factors affecting legislation appear to conspire against new tax changes,  taxpayers should continue to monitor our Outlook on tax rates and policy changes resource center for updates. In the event, however unlikely, that meaningful tax changes advance in 2022, taxpayers will have at least some degree of advanced notice as those changes work their way through Congress. The recent proposals from the Biden administration signal the items that could potentially be included in tax legislation. However, if the experience of 2021 is any guide, it’s expected that significant changes would be made by Congress during legislative negotiations.

Comprehensive summary of the tax changes in the 2023 budget proposal

Many of the tax proposals included in the 2023 budget proposal are summarized below. These have been grouped by:

Each of those categories further segregate the new proposals from those that were included in either the Biden administration’s 2021 proposals or the BBBA.

Individual and estate/gift tax changes

Newly proposed changes: Individual tax changes included in the 2023 budget proposal that are new this year: 

Proposals from 2021: Individual tax changes in the 2023 budget that were included in last year’s budget proposal or a version of the BBBA:

General business changes

Newly proposed changes: Below are the general business tax changes included in the 2023 budget proposal that are new this year. 

Proposals from 2021: Below are the general business tax changes in the 2023 budget that were included in last year’s budget proposal or a version of the BBBA.

Corporate income tax changes

Newly proposed changes: Below are the corporate income tax changes included in the 2023 budget proposal that are new this year. 

Proposals from 2021: Below are the general business tax changes in the 2023 budget that were included in last year’s budget proposal or a version of the BBBA.

International tax changes

Newly proposed changes: Below are the international income tax changes included in the 2023 budget proposal that are new this year. 

Proposals from 2021: Below are the international tax changes in the 2023 budget that were included in last year’s budget proposal or a version of the BBBA.

Tax rules related to digital assets

Newly proposed changes: Below are the digital assets tax changes included in the 2023 budget proposal that are new this year.

Proposals from 2021: Below are the digital assets tax changes in the 2023 budget that were included in last year’s budget proposal or a version of the BBBA.

Tax reporting and enforcement changes

Newly proposed changes: Below are the digital assets tax changes included in the 2023 budget proposal that are new this year.

Proposals from 2021: Below are the tax reporting and enforcement changes in the 2023 budget that were included in last year’s budget proposal or a version of the BBBA.

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